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Geo Politics: With the unfortunate incident of Russian agression over Ukraine, there has been a
sharp jump in International Crude oil prices and other commodity prices like Aluminium, natural
gas prices among many other. If the situation continues, it runs the risk of jeopardising the Global
economic recovery. It can have meaningful impact on Equity as an asset class as well, with some
probability of serious cuts to earnings expectations
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Quarterly Earnings: The December quarter earnings were broadly in line with estimates. However
the beat that we had seen in the last two quarters vs the estimates was not there this time around.
Cement, Autos lagged expectations whereas Financials did better than expectations
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Budget: India’s 2022-23 budget dynamics were very similar to last year: an overarching focus
on infrastructure spending coupled with very conservative tax assumptions. The tax assumptions
underpinning estimates are overly conservative
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Covid: Cases/Vaccinations: Covid cases have come down in the country now. Many States have
started relaxing some of the Covid related restrictions. Air travel has been very good bookings for
the Summer season, If the same trend of covid continues, most of the country will have near normal
kind of movement. Vaccination still continues at a decent pace
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Politics: State Elections: 5 states in India will head to the polls beginning 10th Feb to kick off
election season that experts say is likely to determine the political direction of the world’s largest
democracy, with more than 180 mn voters eligible to vote